As of the end of the third quarter, according to research coordinating
units Solarbuzz said, solar manufacturers in 2012 has been canceled and delays
totaling more than 30 billion dollars in equipment orders. The total order
backlog of solar equipment suppliers so significant decrease in the third
quarter of 2012 is already fourth consecutive quarter of decline, the rate
reached 30%. Mainly due to new orders for solar equipment suppliers from
equipment maintenance, solar book-to-bill ratio has fallen into negative, this
is the first time since the solar energy industry continued to grow for many
years.
NPD Solarbuzz analyst Lim sharp negative orders are shipped than in the capital
equipment industry is extremely rare. Even if the semiconductor industry
is facing the worst economic recession, and its book-to-bill ratio remains
positive. Negative book-to-bill ratio that many solar panel capacity expansion
plans have been canceled. This satisfies the solar industry rebound from
overcapacity downturn phase one of the first condition.
The customer base of the solar equipment, solar cell and module manufacturers
that there will be a period of time have to continue going through a painful
process of rationalization of capacity to digest excessive investment since
2010. However, a quarter production of polycrystalline silicon cells and
modules remain around 13 GW, offset by additional new capacity on-line spare
capacity to exit.
Solarbuzz said that the third quarter of 2012, the battery and module
manufacturers began to sharply reduce capacity utilization, an attempt to restore
the inventory to a manageable level. However, the uncertainty concerns to
the ongoing anti-dumping investigation resulted in the short-term solar panel manufacturers to enhance the production capacity or output held a high degree
of caution. Some Chinese polysilicon cell and module manufacturers are
considering more diversified their production capacity area
configuration.
According to the forecast, solar equipment spending in 2012 is expected to
decline more than 66%, will remain with the 2008 level of about $ 5 billion in
2013. The equipment spending rebound is expected to wait until at least
2014, of which more than 90% of the revenue from first-tier vendors
expenditures.
Within the next 12-18 months, the solar equipment spending in key equipment
upgrades, advanced and efficient production lines, as well as a potential
regional production capacity diversified in response to the trade restrictions
or to meet local requirements.
Japanese media reported 22, the Japanese trading giant Marubeni plans in November
officially launched in Oita Prefecture voted to build the nation's largest solar cell power station construction project is expected to completed in time for
March 2014. It is understood that the construction land is located in the
maritime industries of Oita Prefecture, a total area of 105 hectares, with a total
investment of nearly 24 billion yen, the power station will bring in 350,000
solar panels, the power generation capacity of up to 81,500 kilowatts,
Japan level, the total annual power generation of about 87 million kwh,
equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of nearly 30,000
households.
Marubeni Corporation said that 20 years after the formal operation of the power
station, all power will be sold to the Kyushu Electric Power Company, Japan's
Mitsui Engineering & Shipbuilding enterprises also voted to build a solar
power station planned in its contiguous zone, Oita Prefecture for maritime
industries and solar energy is expected to total power generation capacity
will reach 125,000 kilowatts.
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